EXCITEMENT TODAY -- THEN COMES 2012
November 2, 2010
This is the day I have been looking forward to for a long time. Today is the day America will slow down the engine of socialism that took off on January 20, 2009.
Yes, and if the average of all polls and the pundits are correct, the House of Representatives will be handed back to the GOP with a nice majority. At this juncture, I predict a net gain of 63 seats (give or take two) for a 242 to 193 majority.
As for the Senate, I doubt we will know how many seats the GOP will pick up until at least December! I do think they will know by Wednesday Night that they will have picked up seven seats, but the way the average of the polls is seen at this juncture, three seats (possibly four) will not be determined until after close scrutiny and a series of recounts.
The Senate seats in question will be Washington State, West Virginia, Colorado and possibly California. The way the mail in balloting in Washington works and their mandate for a recount if no candidate receives a majority or with less than a 1 percent lead, it may be well into the next Congress (which begins on January 3rd) before we know the winner.
So, if we split the difference between the four seats which are too close to call, the GOP will gain nine seats and come January, there will be 50 Republicans, 48 Democrats and 2 Independents which caucus with the Dems. This is where Joe Biden comes into play.
Whenever there is an even split between the parties in the Senate, the majority is determined by the party affiliation of the person holding the Office of Vice-President, he being the President of the Senate. The last time this occurred was in January of 2001.
From January 3 until January 20 the Senate Majority Party were the Democrats, with Al Gore being the Vice President. Then came the inauguration of Dick Chaney as VEEP and the majority shifted to the Republicans, that is until May 24, 2001. Senator James Jeffords of Vermont announced his switch from Republican to Independent status, effective June 6, 2001. Jeffords announced that he would caucus with the Democrats, giving the Democrats a one-seat advantage, changing control of the Senate from the Republicans back to the Democrats.
Now enough of the history. Let's take a look at what's ahead for the new 112th Congress -- In a word: "Gridlock!"
Simply put, we can expect a more conservative congress to try and limit the power of the government by killing Cap and Trade, overturning ObamaCare and trying to enforce immigration laws or rewrite a new immigration bill. President Obama, being the staunchest ideologue in Presidential history, will veto everything that originates from the Republicans in Congress.
When President Obama sends his proposed budget up to the Hill, expect the GOP to nix it by cutting back or halting the funding of ObamaCare, proposed tax increases on the rich, more spending on entitlements and a host of other social programs intended to cause more people to be dependent on the government for their "well-being."
It will be vetoes and vote downs all the way to November, 2012.
In two years the campaign motto for the Democrats will be "The Republicans won't let government save you from destruction!" The slogan for the GOP will be "President Obama and the Democrats won't let the government off of your back."
With this in mind, the only thing that will happen for me today (and the days afterward as the toss up states go through their Minnesota-like recounts and finding ballots in obscure places) is the beginning of two years preparing what is being set up as the most polarizing election in U.S. history. 2012 will be the year of civil, social and political unrest. Mark my words -- George Soros will take advantage of this restless spirit and Barack Obama will pull out his trusty bible Rules for Radicals, and together they will forge a campaign sure to bring discord throughout the entire country.
You think this election has been bitter? This won't compare to 2012!
Just in case you are wondering if I have an early predictions for 2012, the answer is a definite "NO!" You see a lot depends of whether the GOP will stick to its principles and not compromise what the voters are sending them to Washington for.
But as for the Presidential predictions... Look for Hillary Clinton to resigned by early February from the State Department and set up an exploratory committee to begin her challenge against Obama. Whether she will be successful depends on whether George Soros and his followers at MoveOn.org, the Tides Foundation, The Open Society Institute, Media Matters and about thirty other 527s decide its time for a change. If Hillary succeeds, I believe the Republicans will have a woman on the ticket, perhaps Sarah Palin, but I would rather see Michele Bachmann of Minnesota. My five top picks for the GOP are Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, Bobby Jindle, Haley Barbour and Newt Gingrich.
As for Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee, I think they will sit it out as Sarah seems to like stumping for the candidates and Huckabee is happy at FOX. Besides, both can make better in roads where they are now. But don't rule out either as a running mate.
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